Sunshine week is here and it falls late in week 7 making it a pivotal map in the rotation. Sunshine is rarely if ever played in the off-season for scrims and only sees rare action during pugs. I quite enjoy that fact because wins and losses at this point of the season will determine playoffs.
Huge upsets and close matches between many teams are highly likely because of the unfamiliarity of the map. As with many past seasons, the way ESEA does scheduling means that there will be a few top 16 teams that get submarined by low/mid open teams. These teams are coasting through easy schedules and can rack up wins very quickly while the top teams claw at each other for every inch in the standings. I have my eye on at least 2 teams that are going to cause major trouble by the end of the season. Everything hinges on the Granary schedules and of course, the match results on Sunshine.
Last week I went a little too heavy on match stats, as I was trying to spotlight a few players on each team. In an effort to stay on some people’s good side, (you know who you are) this time I want to focus more on the single most important factor in how I do my rankings, MATCH RESULTS. I am still going to use stats! The last 2 weeks on Gullywash and Badlands had our Top 16 teams face off against each other. Based off those results, a team will climb or fall regardless of other factors such as “omg that team must be better because that guy was in Invite!!!”.
Week 5 – Gullywash Rankings - http://teamfortress.tv/thread/22659/open-power-rankings-week-5-gully/?page=1#394753
Week 6 – Badlands Rankings - http://teamfortress.tv/thread/22821/week-6-open-power-ranks-badlands/?page=1#396660
======================================================================================
======================================================================================
Week 7 Rankings -- Sunshine Week
#1----Seendio------------------------------------(12-0) N/A
#2----The Muffin Men--------------------------(11-1) +1
#3----Aminus Victoria-------------------------(10-2) +4
#4----I AM NOT BILLUSTER-----------------(10-2) +1
#5----SYOPS TF2--------------------------------(11-1) -3
#6----Blanc Esports----------------------------(10-2) +2
#7----Night Owl's--------------------------------(10-2) -3
#8----Carolina Fan Club-----------------------(10-1) -2
#9----Cloud 9--------------------------------------(9-3) +1
#10---Bwatbwatbwat---------------------------(8-4) -1
#11---Morin than meets the eye------------(8-4) +4
#12---Squid Squad------------------------------(9-3) +4
#13---Mumble Robots--------------------------(8-4) -1
#14---Monkey Madness------------------------(7-5) N/A
#15---Virgin Police------------------------------(8-4) -4
#16a--Victorious Secret-----------------------(9-3) -3
#16b--THE WIDEST KIDS YOU KNOW---(8-4) N/A
======================================================================================
======================================================================================
#1----Seendio---(12-0)
Schedule Difficulty : Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 4-0
With their 12th victory, Seendio becomes the first team to clinch a playoff spot this season. Not that it was ever in doubt but mathematically speaking, they are the only team so far to clinch. There is not much new information about this team to talk about. They still have not given up a single round and have destroyed the other top open challengers up to this point. Can anyone manage to take a round? Sunshine week offers a possible glimmer of hope to Carolina Fan Club and SYOPS to try and take some rounds but I see 2 victories for Seendio.
Player Stat Focus : Cab00se -- The medic for Seendio has one outstanding stat that may show why this team is so dominant. Starting Gullywash week, Seendio has played 4 of the top teams in open and during that time Caboose only had 15 total deaths in 4 matches with around 82 minutes in-game.
#2----The Muffin Men---(11-1)
Schedule Difficulty : Very Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 6-1
The Muffin Men have easily had the hardest schedule in open this season. No other team has had to face 7 of the top 16 teams in the division through the first 12 matches and in that span they have gone an impressive 11-1. An almost certain playoff clinching week awaits them because for the third straight week they avoid any High open competition and should win both matches. I hope this lack of quality opponents does not cause them to get rusty as playoffs begin.
Interesting Team Stat : The Muffin Men are racking up an incredible amount of Domination's when compared to Revenge kills. 107 Doms to only 13 Revenge. The only two open teams that come close are Carolina Fan club at 86/31 and Danger Zone with 83/45.
#3----Aminus Victoria---(10-2)
Schedule Difficulty : Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 4-2
Animus Victoria had some serious problems on Gully week but seem to have a new invigorated lineup. Pulling out 2 victories this week against Top 5 opponents show that this revitalized roster can get the job done. AV jumps 4 spots in my rankings because of such a strong week on Badlands. Already in a firm playoff position, they get a much easier schedule on Sunshine as they face a rapidly eroding Bwatbwatbwat and playoff hopeful Squid Squad. I can't help but predict 2 solid victories and a playoff spot clinched.
#4----I AM NOT BILLUSTER---(10-2)
Schedule Difficulty : Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 3-2
As predicted last week, BILLUSTER had a split on Badlands but not as I expected. They came out and Kicked SYOPS off the map but followed that up by getting kicked off the map by Animus Victoria, both matches 5-2. This team is in a good position for playoffs but have an interesting Sunshine week ahead against Cloud 9 and Blanc ESports. I don't think either match will be easy and should they fail to perform, it could hurt the playoff seeding.
Many of you may wonder about this team name. Who is this "Billuster" and why has this team honored his name all season long? I spent a season with the real Billuster and caughtup with him for comment on this development. In true Billy fashion, it was short and sweet:
Billuster: wow what losers I don't even know them
Billuster: He goes by bill? lol I will kill him
Billuster: I'm the best
[b]Sunshine week is here and it falls late in week 7 making it a pivotal map in the rotation. Sunshine is rarely if ever played in the off-season for scrims and only sees rare action during pugs. I quite enjoy that fact because wins and losses at this point of the season will determine playoffs.
Huge upsets and close matches between many teams are highly likely because of the unfamiliarity of the map. As with many past seasons, the way ESEA does scheduling means that there will be a few top 16 teams that get submarined by low/mid open teams. These teams are coasting through easy schedules and can rack up wins very quickly while the top teams claw at each other for every inch in the standings. I have my eye on at least 2 teams that are going to cause major trouble by the end of the season. Everything hinges on the Granary schedules and of course, the match results on Sunshine.
Last week I went a little too heavy on match stats, as I was trying to spotlight a few players on each team. In an effort to stay on some people’s good side, (you know who you are) this time I want to focus more on the single most important factor in how I do my rankings, [u]MATCH RESULTS[/u]. I am still going to use stats! The last 2 weeks on Gullywash and Badlands had our Top 16 teams face off against each other. Based off those results, a team will climb or fall regardless of other factors such as “omg that team must be better because that guy was in Invite!!!”.[/b][size=14][/size]
[b][size=10][color=green]Week 5 – Gullywash Rankings - http://teamfortress.tv/thread/22659/open-power-rankings-week-5-gully/?page=1#394753
Week 6 – Badlands Rankings - http://teamfortress.tv/thread/22821/week-6-open-power-ranks-badlands/?page=1#396660[/color][/size][/b]
[b][size=14]======================================================================================
======================================================================================[/size][/b]
[size=16][b][color=blue]Week 7 Rankings -- Sunshine Week
#1----Seendio------------------------------------(12-0) N/A
#2----The Muffin Men--------------------------(11-1) +1
#3----Aminus Victoria-------------------------(10-2) +4
#4----I AM NOT BILLUSTER-----------------(10-2) +1
#5----SYOPS TF2--------------------------------(11-1) -3
#6----Blanc Esports----------------------------(10-2) +2
#7----Night Owl's--------------------------------(10-2) -3
#8----Carolina Fan Club-----------------------(10-1) -2
#9----Cloud 9--------------------------------------(9-3) +1
#10---Bwatbwatbwat---------------------------(8-4) -1
#11---Morin than meets the eye------------(8-4) +4
#12---Squid Squad------------------------------(9-3) +4
#13---Mumble Robots--------------------------(8-4) -1
#14---Monkey Madness------------------------(7-5) N/A
#15---Virgin Police------------------------------(8-4) -4
#16a--Victorious Secret-----------------------(9-3) -3
#16b--THE WIDEST KIDS YOU KNOW---(8-4) N/A[/color][/b][/size]
[b][size=14]======================================================================================
======================================================================================[/size][/b]
[b][color=red][size=16]#1----Seendio---(12-0)[/size][/color]
Schedule Difficulty : Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 4-0[/b]
With their 12th victory, Seendio becomes the first team to clinch a playoff spot this season. Not that it was ever in doubt but mathematically speaking, they are the only team so far to clinch. There is not much new information about this team to talk about. They still have not given up a single round and have destroyed the other top open challengers up to this point. Can anyone manage to take a round? Sunshine week offers a possible glimmer of hope to Carolina Fan Club and SYOPS to try and take some rounds but I see 2 victories for Seendio.
[b]Player Stat Focus : Cab00se[/b] -- The medic for Seendio has one outstanding stat that may show why this team is so dominant. Starting Gullywash week, Seendio has played 4 of the top teams in open and during that time Caboose only had 15 total deaths in 4 matches with around 82 minutes in-game.
[b][color=red][size=16]#2----The Muffin Men---(11-1)[/size][/color]
Schedule Difficulty : Very Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 6-1[/b]
The Muffin Men have easily had the hardest schedule in open this season. No other team has had to face 7 of the top 16 teams in the division through the first 12 matches and in that span they have gone an impressive 11-1. An almost certain playoff clinching week awaits them because for the third straight week they avoid any High open competition and should win both matches. I hope this lack of quality opponents does not cause them to get rusty as playoffs begin.
[b]Interesting Team Stat :[/b] The Muffin Men are racking up an incredible amount of Domination's when compared to Revenge kills. 107 Doms to only 13 Revenge. The only two open teams that come close are Carolina Fan club at 86/31 and Danger Zone with 83/45.
[b][color=red][size=16]#3----Aminus Victoria---(10-2)[/size][/color]
Schedule Difficulty : Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 4-2[/b]
Animus Victoria had some serious problems on Gully week but seem to have a new invigorated lineup. Pulling out 2 victories this week against Top 5 opponents show that this revitalized roster can get the job done. AV jumps 4 spots in my rankings because of such a strong week on Badlands. Already in a firm playoff position, they get a much easier schedule on Sunshine as they face a rapidly eroding Bwatbwatbwat and playoff hopeful Squid Squad. I can't help but predict 2 solid victories and a playoff spot clinched.
[b][color=red][size=16]#4----I AM NOT BILLUSTER---(10-2)[/size][/color]
Schedule Difficulty : Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 3-2[/b]
As predicted last week, BILLUSTER had a split on Badlands but not as I expected. They came out and Kicked SYOPS off the map but followed that up by getting kicked off the map by Animus Victoria, both matches 5-2. This team is in a good position for playoffs but have an interesting Sunshine week ahead against Cloud 9 and Blanc ESports. I don't think either match will be easy and should they fail to perform, it could hurt the playoff seeding.
Many of you may wonder about this team name. Who is this "Billuster" and why has this team honored his name all season long? I spent a season with the real Billuster and caughtup with him for comment on this development. In true Billy fashion, it was short and sweet:
[quote][b]Billuster: wow what losers I don't even know them
Billuster: He goes by bill? lol I will kill him
Billuster: I'm the best[/b][/quote]
#5----SYOPS TF2---(11-1)
Schedule Difficulty : Average
Record vs Top 16 : 4-1
SYOPS has been a strong team all season long and should easily secure a playoff spot. They had 3 very competitive matches against some of the top teams in open where I think some may feel that dropping 3 or more rounds relates to not playing well. SYOPS has received some negative comments about it and I recently asked the their medic CHEERISS on her thoughts:
SYOPS^CHEERISS: We've continued to improve as a team each week. There is still some tweaking we need to do, but by playoffs I think we'll polish up. Yes we do lack a few things team- wise, but its nothing that we cant handle. We look forward to playoffs and that should be our proving ground. We hope to surprise some teams when its all said and done.
SYOPS has shown they can pull out hard fought matches when crunch time hits and that is the mark of a solid team. This week SYOPS will find themselves facing Seendio and Night Owl’s where I predict a split.
#6----Blanc Esports---(10-2)
Schedule Difficulty : Average
Record vs Top 16 : 4-2
I feel we came in pretty well prepared for Badlands week and delivered 2 solid performances. The match against Monkey Madness was plagued with pauses and hardware problems so it wasn’t a fun match. The next match against Cloud 9 was more fun and had a nice flow to it. We secured 2 important victories this week and with a 10-2 record, are in a good spot for playoffs.
I recently spoke to Avast and asked him about the mysterious nature of our team, specifically because of Avast’s family history of being involved in ruining the secret Underground Railroad, he had this to say:
SpaceCadet`HX: So Avast, we have been playing well this season fueled by of our heavy asian influence in dancing and video games. We seem to have problems at times and it may be because of the lack of Froot and Brownstone's presence in our mumble these days. Your thoughts on our team and that theory?
Avast: I wholeheatedly agree. I myself have begun adopting a thick asian accent and writing haikus in a hope to rekindle our team's fighting spirit derived from our destruction of asian culture. In order to further aid this effort I enlisted the aid of reilly(dango) to explore the depths of the beautiful Japanese art form, anime, in order to better connect with our fellow asian team members Tery and Shiki.
#7----Night Owls---(10-2)
Schedule Difficulty : Weak
Record vs Top 16 : 2-2
Just when I move Night Owl’s up in the rankings, they go ahead and drop both matches this week. While the one against Seendio was an expected result, I was not anticipating them to lose so quickly to Animus Victoria. Sitting with a 10-2 record is a mostly comfortable spot when considering playoffs but they did not clinch just yet. A difficult week against SYOPS and Carolina Fan Club await on Sunshine. The possibility exists that should both matches turn into losses, the Night Owls could find themselves fighting for a playoff spot come Granary week.
Player Focus : Air -- Quite simply, the driving force on this team. Air has been nothing less than dominant sporting a 380 DPM for the season so far, including 4 matches over 400. Surely making a case for the strongest pocket in Open this season and if you plan to beat Night Owls, you need to deal with Air.
#8----Carolina Fan Club---(10-1)
Schedule Difficulty : Average
Record vs Top 16 : 3-1
I honestly don’t have a whole lot to say about Carolina Fan Club right now. Only 1 Badlands match was scheduled for this week against Squid Squad and that wasn’t competitive at all. They have won against Virgin Police and Cloud 9 by 1 capture each, in exciting fashion. With a 10-1 record, they are in a very good position to secure a playoff spot. This week however will be quite challenging as they face Seendio and Night Owls on Sunshine. While I know Carolina have a good team, I just have a feeling they are going to drop both matches making Granary week vital.
#9---Cloud 9---(9-3)
Schedule Difficulty : Weak
Record vs Top 16 : 1-3
Could 9 started the week with a rough 5-0 loss to Blanc Esports but rebounded well against Morin than meets the eye. That single win put them into a good position for this week. Matches against a declining Virgin Police and I AM NOT BILLUSTER are ahead. Another 1-1 split may be in store for Cloud 9 this week on sunshine and in all likelihood will need a solid Granary week to qualify for playoffs. It should come down to how harsh ESEA scheduling is for the final week.
Player Focus : Battle Medic Pat -- Leads all open medics with 21 frags in 11 matches, including 5 Medic Picks.
#10---Bwatbwatbwat---(8-4)
Schedule Difficulty : Very Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 2-4
Bwatbwatbwat is in a state of free-fall. After a dominant 8-0 start to the season, BBB has dropped 4 straight matches. Not only have they dropped these matches against the higher caliber teams but have been destroyed in the process, winning only 1 round while dropping 20. I couldn't say this 2 weeks ago but as of right now, I believe BBB will not make the playoff rounds at all. This week on Sunshine, they face a revitalized Animus Victoria squad along with The Muffin Men. This losing streak could easily reach 6 straight matches but playoff hopes are not lost just yet. Make no mistake about it, these two Sunshine matches will determine BBB’s season, they need to win at least one match.
Team Stat Focus : Medic Kills -- During this 4 match losing streak, BBB has played a total of 95 in-game minutes and had a 6 player team total of only 18 medic kills. Even against the top of the division, that number is very low and likely a big reason why none of these 4 matches was close to competitive.
#11---Morin than meets the eye---(8-4)
Schedule Difficulty : Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 2-4
Morin than meets the eye had a very difficult last 2 weeks, facing some of the high open teams but they did manage to pull out a single victory over Monkey Madness. That victory alone keeps them in the playoff hunt and with a favorable Sunshine schedule this week, they can dictate their own fate. Sitting with an 8-4 record means you need to win every match. This week against just relax and THE WIDEST KIDS YOU KNOW gives the opportunity to do just that. I still feel playoffs are very possible for this team but they must have victories this week.
Player Focus : smashy & changeq -- In my opinion, one of the most underrated scout pairs in open are these 2 guys. Smashy is quietly leading Open in Scout kills with 281. Together they have over 50% of this whole teams frags.
[b][color=red][size=16]#5----SYOPS TF2---(11-1)[/size][/color]
Schedule Difficulty : Average
Record vs Top 16 : 4-1[/b]
SYOPS has been a strong team all season long and should easily secure a playoff spot. They had 3 very competitive matches against some of the top teams in open where I think some may feel that dropping 3 or more rounds relates to not playing well. SYOPS has received some negative comments about it and I recently asked the their medic CHEERISS on her thoughts:
[quote][b]SYOPS^CHEERISS: We've continued to improve as a team each week. There is still some tweaking we need to do, but by playoffs I think we'll polish up. Yes we do lack a few things team- wise, but its nothing that we cant handle. We look forward to playoffs and that should be our proving ground. We hope to surprise some teams when its all said and done.[/b][/quote]
SYOPS has shown they can pull out hard fought matches when crunch time hits and that is the mark of a solid team. This week SYOPS will find themselves facing Seendio and Night Owl’s where I predict a split.
[b][color=red][size=16]#6----Blanc Esports---(10-2)[/size][/color]
Schedule Difficulty : Average
Record vs Top 16 : 4-2[/b]
I feel we came in pretty well prepared for Badlands week and delivered 2 solid performances. The match against Monkey Madness was plagued with pauses and hardware problems so it wasn’t a fun match. The next match against Cloud 9 was more fun and had a nice flow to it. We secured 2 important victories this week and with a 10-2 record, are in a good spot for playoffs.
I recently spoke to Avast and asked him about the mysterious nature of our team, specifically because of Avast’s family history of being involved in ruining the secret Underground Railroad, he had this to say:
[quote][b]SpaceCadet`HX: So Avast, we have been playing well this season fueled by of our heavy asian influence in dancing and video games. We seem to have problems at times and it may be because of the lack of Froot and Brownstone's presence in our mumble these days. Your thoughts on our team and that theory?
Avast: I wholeheatedly agree. I myself have begun adopting a thick asian accent and writing haikus in a hope to rekindle our team's fighting spirit derived from our destruction of asian culture. In order to further aid this effort I enlisted the aid of reilly(dango) to explore the depths of the beautiful Japanese art form, anime, in order to better connect with our fellow asian team members Tery and Shiki.[/b][/quote]
[b][color=red][size=16]#7----Night Owls---(10-2)[/size][/color]
Schedule Difficulty : Weak
Record vs Top 16 : 2-2[/b]
Just when I move Night Owl’s up in the rankings, they go ahead and drop both matches this week. While the one against Seendio was an expected result, I was not anticipating them to lose so quickly to Animus Victoria. Sitting with a 10-2 record is a mostly comfortable spot when considering playoffs but they did not clinch just yet. A difficult week against SYOPS and Carolina Fan Club await on Sunshine. The possibility exists that should both matches turn into losses, the Night Owls could find themselves fighting for a playoff spot come Granary week.
[b]Player Focus : Air[/b] -- Quite simply, the driving force on this team. Air has been nothing less than dominant sporting a 380 DPM for the season so far, including 4 matches over 400. Surely making a case for the strongest pocket in Open this season and if you plan to beat Night Owls, you need to deal with Air.
[b][color=red][size=16]#8----Carolina Fan Club---(10-1)[/size][/color]
Schedule Difficulty : Average
Record vs Top 16 : 3-1[/b]
I honestly don’t have a whole lot to say about Carolina Fan Club right now. Only 1 Badlands match was scheduled for this week against Squid Squad and that wasn’t competitive at all. They have won against Virgin Police and Cloud 9 by 1 capture each, in exciting fashion. With a 10-1 record, they are in a very good position to secure a playoff spot. This week however will be quite challenging as they face Seendio and Night Owls on Sunshine. While I know Carolina have a good team, I just have a feeling they are going to drop both matches making Granary week vital.
[b][size=16][color=red]#9---Cloud 9---(9-3)[/color][/size]
Schedule Difficulty : Weak
Record vs Top 16 : 1-3[/b]
Could 9 started the week with a rough 5-0 loss to Blanc Esports but rebounded well against Morin than meets the eye. That single win put them into a good position for this week. Matches against a declining Virgin Police and I AM NOT BILLUSTER are ahead. Another 1-1 split may be in store for Cloud 9 this week on sunshine and in all likelihood will need a solid Granary week to qualify for playoffs. It should come down to how harsh ESEA scheduling is for the final week.
[b]Player Focus : Battle Medic Pat[/b] -- Leads all open medics with 21 frags in 11 matches, including 5 Medic Picks.
[b][color=red][size=16]#10---Bwatbwatbwat---(8-4)[/size][/color]
Schedule Difficulty : Very Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 2-4[/b]
Bwatbwatbwat is in a state of free-fall. After a dominant 8-0 start to the season, BBB has dropped 4 straight matches. Not only have they dropped these matches against the higher caliber teams but have been destroyed in the process, winning only 1 round while dropping 20. I couldn't say this 2 weeks ago but as of right now, I believe BBB will not make the playoff rounds at all. This week on Sunshine, they face a revitalized Animus Victoria squad along with The Muffin Men. This losing streak could easily reach 6 straight matches but playoff hopes are not lost just yet. Make no mistake about it, these two Sunshine matches will determine BBB’s season, they need to win at least one match.
[b]Team Stat Focus : Medic Kills[/b] -- During this 4 match losing streak, BBB has played a total of 95 in-game minutes and had a 6 player team total of only 18 medic kills. Even against the top of the division, that number is very low and likely a big reason why none of these 4 matches was close to competitive.
[b][color=red][size=16]#11---Morin than meets the eye---(8-4)[/size][/color]
Schedule Difficulty : Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 2-4[/b]
Morin than meets the eye had a very difficult last 2 weeks, facing some of the high open teams but they did manage to pull out a single victory over Monkey Madness. That victory alone keeps them in the playoff hunt and with a favorable Sunshine schedule this week, they can dictate their own fate. Sitting with an 8-4 record means you need to win every match. This week against just relax and THE WIDEST KIDS YOU KNOW gives the opportunity to do just that. I still feel playoffs are very possible for this team but they must have victories this week.
[b]Player Focus : smashy & changeq[/b] -- In my opinion, one of the most underrated scout pairs in open are these 2 guys. Smashy is quietly leading Open in Scout kills with 281. Together they have over 50% of this whole teams frags.
#12---Squid Squad---(9-3)
Schedule Difficulty : Weak
Record vs Top 16 : 1-3
Squid Squad has a lot to prove but they do sit with a nice 9-3 record. This means the playoff pressure is not as tight but they are far from out of the woods. The only Top 16 victory they possess is a 3-2 nail-biter over Mumble Robots from this past week. Every other top open team has defeated them without dropping a single round. Sunshine week will be the most challenging yet, as they face The Muffin Men and Animus Victoria. I can’t see them taking many rounds off either team and will likely be 9-5. The playoff life of this team will come down to the final match and they may need help from other teams to even secure a spot. I asked Mana's thoughts:
mana: So, since Knuckles didn't feel like sticking on Pocket (understandable, it's not an easy class to adapt to, and it wasn't a surprise to me), we picked up a young Photon, prodigal brother of LAN monster pocket grape, as well as playoffs pocket in the previous season on the dark horse team Hotel Moskau. Dark horse is a term that describes our team very well. And we almost didn't make it. We've always aimed to make playoffs and the first half of our season (barring SYOPS and Blanc) was more than plenty to get our hopes up. We've had a bit more shaky second half schedule, but our match against Mumble Robots (which ended in a shockingly European 3-2) has been a great pivot point for us. We shaped up quite a bit and solidified our general play. cp_badlands has also been a good map for us in general (we definitely favored it much more than Mumble Robots). Our team is very solo play prone; whether or not it's the right time to do so (hint: IT NEVER IS), but very slowly we've ironed out our cohesion. While we're projected to be in the lower end of playoffs, I'm very cautious of dropping just short (this is season "Lucky #7" of me playing in Open; my last 5 seasons I barely missed playoffs as we all fucking know). We're on the road to recovery. So, this is with all my hope that we do make it. We're very capable, especially on our good days. Good luck to all other teams out there, too.
#13---Mumble Robots---(8-4)
Schedule Difficulty : Average
Record vs Top 16 : 2-4
Mumble Robots find themselves in a very delicate position of their own doing. It is not from a lack of effort just an inability to finish off teams after holding a big lead. Those missed opportunities continue to hurt in the rankings. I caught-up with Maxhax:
MaxHax: We've been through a lot of roster changes so we're trying to cope. We finally broke our 3-0 curse, and we're trying to figure out our roles atm.
I did watch both matches this week and I was surprised with the results. I expected a loss against Virgin Police but instead watched an old fashioned beat down in 16 minutes because VP had no answer on mid-fights. The 2nd match against Squid Squad was much more entertaining. It took almost 50 minutes for the 2nd round to end as both teams pushed back and forth. I watched this live and the last 5 minutes were dominated by Mumble Robots, with another 30 -45 seconds, this match could have easily been tied 3-3. Flat out, Mumble Robots need to win both matches on Sunshine this week because a single loss will make playoffs a very difficult prospect.
#14---Monkey Madness---(7-5)
Schedule Difficulty : Very Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 1-5
Of all the teams in the top 16, Monkey Madness are easily in the worst playoff position because they have 5 losses. This means they must win the 4 remaining matches to secure a playoff spot, winning 3 out of 4 matches will not be enough. Half of the matches this season have been against Top 16 teams so ESEA scheduling has not been generous. That said, Monkey Madness has yet to really step up and overcome these challenges because they are 1-5 against top teams. Some losses were hard fought indeed but winning vital games is what making playoffs is all about. I recently asked Matt his thoughts:
Matt: i think we should be able to compete with top 10 open teams, and get into the bottom of playoffs. Me, jinta and schy have no esea exp other than dead teams preseason
SpaceCadet`HX: has your roster changed on a perm basis or was last match a temp situation?
Matt: temp, our full lineup normally is me med, jinta demo, cloudland pocket, xig and schy scouts and rawr roaming. Xig couldn't play this week because of real life stuff so we got bobby off the dead pinoy boys im roster, had cloud scout and crunkmasterflex pocket. Also discario was cut for me
Sunshine week will be very interesting as they face Mumble Robots. The only question is, can Monkey Madness step-up when it counts and run off 3 straight wins?
#15---Virgin Police---(8-4)
Schedule Difficulty : Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 1-4
Virgin Police came into this week needing to secure at least 1 victory to remain comfortable in the playoff race. With last night’s FFL to Muffin Men, they dropped both matches and now sit firmly on the bubble at 8-4. All season I have said that VP have the talent to compete at the very top of Open but the question has always been “commitment”. For a team that does not scrim regularly, the most critical part of the season arrives and they FFL the match. That is not a good sign but a worse sign is facing Cloud 9 and Blanc ESports this week on Sunshine. Both teams are active and hungry to secure solid playoff seeds. VP will need to win at least 1 match to retain some hope of making playoffs, lose both matches and they are done.
Utterly pointless stat - The Carnage Carry - Of all the teams in Open, Virgin Police active players have more combined IM and Invite experience than any other team. Only Carolina Fan Club and Animus Victoria come close.
Virgin Police - 164 Invite / 92 IM = 256
Carolina Fan Club - 66 Invite / 181 IM = 247
Animus Victoria - 101 Invite / 145 IM - 246
#16a---Victorious Secret---(9-3)
Schedule DIfficulty : Weak
Record vs Top 16 : 2-3
Victorius Secret came into this week with a very easy schedule against 2 mid-open teams and pulled out 2 victories. It seems like the ESEA scheduling gods are gifting this team with another week against mid-open teams "Silent Kingdom" and "Suika Jump off a cliff". I expect another 2 victories this week and a possible playoff clinching spot.
Player Stat Focus : Tatuwah -- Currently ranked #6 in open for scout kills with 251. Impressive as that is, he manages doing huge work for this team with a very low amount of heals, only 4310 through 10 matches. Almost every other scout in the top 10 have 2 times his heals.
#16b---THE WIDEST KIDS YOU KNOW---(8-4)
Schedule DIfficulty : Very Weak
Record vs Top 16 : 1-2
Jaguar and co rejoin the power ranks but hold this spot by a cunt hair. This season has been a struggle for this team because of a revolving roster. The talentremains but they are having a tough time putting it all together. Playoffs approach and every win/loss counts. This team finds themselves on the bubble but in much better shape than other 8-4 teams because of a good Sunshine schedule. They face Morin and Silent Kingdom. Getting a 1-1 split this week is going to put this team at the mercy of ESEA scheduling for Granary. Both of these matches can be victories, the only question is, will they showup?
Player Focus : Screwb -- It is really no secret that ScrewB has this team firmly on his back and has been carrying all season long. Currently leading all Open Soldiers in Frags and Medic Picks with 340 and 57 respectively, ScrewB is making a strong case for the top Pocket in the division this season.
[b][color=red][size=16]#12---Squid Squad---(9-3)[/size][/color]
Schedule Difficulty : Weak
Record vs Top 16 : 1-3[/b]
Squid Squad has a lot to prove but they do sit with a nice 9-3 record. This means the playoff pressure is not as tight but they are far from out of the woods. The only Top 16 victory they possess is a 3-2 nail-biter over Mumble Robots from this past week. Every other top open team has defeated them without dropping a single round. Sunshine week will be the most challenging yet, as they face The Muffin Men and Animus Victoria. I can’t see them taking many rounds off either team and will likely be 9-5. The playoff life of this team will come down to the final match and they may need help from other teams to even secure a spot. I asked Mana's thoughts:
[quote][b]mana: So, since Knuckles didn't feel like sticking on Pocket (understandable, it's not an easy class to adapt to, and it wasn't a surprise to me), we picked up a young Photon, prodigal brother of LAN monster pocket grape, as well as playoffs pocket in the previous season on the dark horse team Hotel Moskau. Dark horse is a term that describes our team very well. And we almost didn't make it. We've always aimed to make playoffs and the first half of our season (barring SYOPS and Blanc) was more than plenty to get our hopes up. We've had a bit more shaky second half schedule, but our match against Mumble Robots (which ended in a shockingly European 3-2) has been a great pivot point for us. We shaped up quite a bit and solidified our general play. cp_badlands has also been a good map for us in general (we definitely favored it much more than Mumble Robots). Our team is very solo play prone; whether or not it's the right time to do so (hint: IT NEVER IS), but very slowly we've ironed out our cohesion. While we're projected to be in the lower end of playoffs, I'm very cautious of dropping just short (this is season "Lucky #7" of me playing in Open; my last 5 seasons I barely missed playoffs as we all fucking know). We're on the road to recovery. So, this is with all my hope that we do make it. We're very capable, especially on our good days. Good luck to all other teams out there, too.[/b][/quote]
[b][size=16][color=red]#13---Mumble Robots---(8-4)[/color][/size]
Schedule Difficulty : Average
Record vs Top 16 : 2-4[/b]
Mumble Robots find themselves in a very delicate position of their own doing. It is not from a lack of effort just an inability to finish off teams after holding a big lead. Those missed opportunities continue to hurt in the rankings. I caught-up with Maxhax:
[quote][b]MaxHax: We've been through a lot of roster changes so we're trying to cope. We finally broke our 3-0 curse, and we're trying to figure out our roles atm.[/b][/quote]
I did watch both matches this week and I was surprised with the results. I expected a loss against Virgin Police but instead watched an old fashioned beat down in 16 minutes because VP had no answer on mid-fights. The 2nd match against Squid Squad was much more entertaining. It took almost 50 minutes for the 2nd round to end as both teams pushed back and forth. I watched this live and the last 5 minutes were dominated by Mumble Robots, with another 30 -45 seconds, this match could have easily been tied 3-3. Flat out, Mumble Robots need to win both matches on Sunshine this week because a single loss will make playoffs a very difficult prospect.
[b][color=red][size=16]#14---Monkey Madness---(7-5)[/size][/color]
Schedule Difficulty : Very Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 1-5[/b]
Of all the teams in the top 16, Monkey Madness are easily in the worst playoff position because they have 5 losses. This means they must win the 4 remaining matches to secure a playoff spot, winning 3 out of 4 matches will not be enough. Half of the matches this season have been against Top 16 teams so ESEA scheduling has not been generous. That said, Monkey Madness has yet to really step up and overcome these challenges because they are 1-5 against top teams. Some losses were hard fought indeed but winning vital games is what making playoffs is all about. I recently asked Matt his thoughts:
[quote][b]Matt: i think we should be able to compete with top 10 open teams, and get into the bottom of playoffs. Me, jinta and schy have no esea exp other than dead teams preseason
SpaceCadet`HX: has your roster changed on a perm basis or was last match a temp situation?
Matt: temp, our full lineup normally is me med, jinta demo, cloudland pocket, xig and schy scouts and rawr roaming. Xig couldn't play this week because of real life stuff so we got bobby off the dead pinoy boys im roster, had cloud scout and crunkmasterflex pocket. Also discario was cut for me[/b][/quote]
Sunshine week will be very interesting as they face Mumble Robots. The only question is, can Monkey Madness step-up when it counts and run off 3 straight wins?
[b][size=16][color=red]#15---Virgin Police---(8-4)[/color][/size]
Schedule Difficulty : Strong
Record vs Top 16 : 1-4[/b]
Virgin Police came into this week needing to secure at least 1 victory to remain comfortable in the playoff race. With last night’s FFL to Muffin Men, they dropped both matches and now sit firmly on the bubble at 8-4. All season I have said that VP have the talent to compete at the very top of Open but the question has always been “commitment”. For a team that does not scrim regularly, the most critical part of the season arrives and they FFL the match. That is not a good sign but a worse sign is facing Cloud 9 and Blanc ESports this week on Sunshine. Both teams are active and hungry to secure solid playoff seeds. VP will need to win at least 1 match to retain some hope of making playoffs, lose both matches and they are done.
[b]Utterly pointless stat - The Carnage Carry[/b] - Of all the teams in Open, Virgin Police active players have more combined IM and Invite experience than any other team. Only Carolina Fan Club and Animus Victoria come close.
Virgin Police - 164 Invite / 92 IM = 256
Carolina Fan Club - 66 Invite / 181 IM = 247
Animus Victoria - 101 Invite / 145 IM - 246
[b][color=red][size=16]#16a---Victorious Secret---(9-3)[/size][/color]
Schedule DIfficulty : Weak
Record vs Top 16 : 2-3[/b]
Victorius Secret came into this week with a very easy schedule against 2 mid-open teams and pulled out 2 victories. It seems like the ESEA scheduling gods are gifting this team with another week against mid-open teams "Silent Kingdom" and "Suika Jump off a cliff". I expect another 2 victories this week and a possible playoff clinching spot.
[b]Player Stat Focus : Tatuwah[/b] -- Currently ranked #6 in open for scout kills with 251. Impressive as that is, he manages doing huge work for this team with a very low amount of heals, only 4310 through 10 matches. Almost every other scout in the top 10 have 2 times his heals.
[b][size=16][color=red]#16b---THE WIDEST KIDS YOU KNOW---(8-4)[/color][/size]
Schedule DIfficulty : Very Weak
Record vs Top 16 : 1-2[/b]
Jaguar and co rejoin the power ranks but hold this spot by a cunt hair. This season has been a struggle for this team because of a revolving roster. The talentremains but they are having a tough time putting it all together. Playoffs approach and every win/loss counts. This team finds themselves on the bubble but in much better shape than other 8-4 teams because of a good Sunshine schedule. They face Morin and Silent Kingdom. Getting a 1-1 split this week is going to put this team at the mercy of ESEA scheduling for Granary. Both of these matches can be victories, the only question is, will they showup?
[b]Player Focus : Screwb[/b] -- It is really no secret that ScrewB has this team firmly on his back and has been carrying all season long. Currently leading all Open Soldiers in Frags and Medic Picks with 340 and 57 respectively, ScrewB is making a strong case for the top Pocket in the division this season.
cloud 9 jumped like 5 spots just by adding raytek he's so good
cloud 9 jumped like 5 spots just by adding raytek he's so good
Mr_Owlcloud 9 jumped like 5 spots just by adding raytek he's so good
That was 2 weeks ago and I had they too low to begin with.
[quote=Mr_Owl]cloud 9 jumped like 5 spots just by adding raytek he's so good[/quote]
That was 2 weeks ago and I had they too low to begin with.
SpaceCadetMr_Owlcloud 9 jumped like 5 spots just by adding raytek he's so good
That was 2 weeks ago and I had they too low to begin with.
no i'm not talking about your rankings i'm saying just in general they got a lot better with ray
[quote=SpaceCadet][quote=Mr_Owl]cloud 9 jumped like 5 spots just by adding raytek he's so good[/quote]
That was 2 weeks ago and I had they too low to begin with.[/quote]
no i'm not talking about your rankings i'm saying just in general they got a lot better with ray
monkey madness picked up rave- on pocket btw.
monkey madness picked up rave- on pocket btw.
[img]http://i.imgur.com/lKCG7.jpg[/img]
I can't wait to get 5-0'd by Seendio on granary!!!
I can't wait to get 5-0'd by Seendio on granary!!!
nobody loves asians more than avast
nobody loves asians more than avast
Goobledegakjust relax is dead btw, so morin meets the eye and monkey madness get ffws this week
Thx I updated it as I posted.
[quote=Goobledegak]just relax is dead btw, so morin meets the eye and monkey madness get ffws this week[/quote]
Thx I updated it as I posted.
Wait, to make Open playoffs how many wins does a team need? Is it 11 for an assured spot, or 12?
Wait, to make Open playoffs how many wins does a team need? Is it 11 for an assured spot, or 12?
MoyWait, to make Open playoffs how many wins does a team need? Is it 11 for an assured spot, or 12?
I believe Mathematically as records stand right now, 12 wins is the only assured spot. After this week on Sunshine, that number will probably move down to 11 wins to clinch and possibly 10 depending on some results.
[quote=Moy]Wait, to make Open playoffs how many wins does a team need? Is it 11 for an assured spot, or 12?[/quote]
I believe Mathematically as records stand right now, 12 wins is the only assured spot. After this week on Sunshine, that number will probably move down to 11 wins to clinch and possibly 10 depending on some results.
SpaceCadetMoyWait, to make Open playoffs how many wins does a team need? Is it 11 for an assured spot, or 12?
I believe Mathematically as records stand right now, 12 wins is the only assured spot. After this week on Sunshine, that number will probably move down to 11 wins to clinch and possibly 10 depending on some results.
I looked into how to mathematically determine number of wins needed, and it turns out to be a very non-trivial problem. I found a paper on the topic (specifically NHL teams) that has what appears to be a reproduce-able and game agnostic method, but the math is a bit beyond my abilities.
https://cs.uwaterloo.ca/~vanbeek/Publications/cpaior09.pdf
I kind of did a simpler method of their test and looked at a bunch of the bubble teams, their record, their likely end of season record and how that compared to everyone else and I really think 11 wins at the end of the season will signify a playoff spot, with perhaps the last 2-3 slots going to a 10-6 team with a lot of rounds for.
[quote=SpaceCadet][quote=Moy]Wait, to make Open playoffs how many wins does a team need? Is it 11 for an assured spot, or 12?[/quote]
I believe Mathematically as records stand right now, 12 wins is the only assured spot. After this week on Sunshine, that number will probably move down to 11 wins to clinch and possibly 10 depending on some results.[/quote]
I looked into how to mathematically determine number of wins needed, and it turns out to be a very non-trivial problem. I found a paper on the topic (specifically NHL teams) that has what appears to be a reproduce-able and game agnostic method, but the math is a bit beyond my abilities.
https://cs.uwaterloo.ca/~vanbeek/Publications/cpaior09.pdf
I kind of did a simpler method of their test and looked at a bunch of the bubble teams, their record, their likely end of season record and how that compared to everyone else and I really think 11 wins at the end of the season will signify a playoff spot, with perhaps the last 2-3 slots going to a 10-6 team with a lot of rounds for.
Prepare, it's time to abuse stupid unlocks for sunshine week.
Prepare, it's time to abuse [url=http://i.imgur.com/onAWtuE.png]stupid unlocks[/url] for sunshine week.
If we're looking at just this week, the magic number currently stands at 13 wins or 12 wins and 57 RF. The number will probably drop this week if/when certain teams take losses.
Strictly mathematical elimination this week is 9 losses or 8 losses and <16 RF. This number will similarly rise if/when certain teams take wins.
If we're looking at just this week, the magic number currently stands at 13 wins or 12 wins and 57 RF. The number will probably drop this week if/when certain teams take losses.
Strictly mathematical elimination this week is 9 losses or 8 losses and <16 RF. This number will similarly rise if/when certain teams take wins.
thesupremecommanderIf we're looking at just this week, the magic number currently stands at 13 wins or 12 wins and 57 RF. The number will probably drop this week if/when certain teams take losses.
Strictly mathematical elimination this week is 9 losses or 8 losses and <16 RF. This number will similarly rise if/when certain teams take wins.
I always worked it out like this. The top 16 teams make playoffs, so you take the record of the #17 team and compare them to the #1 team.
In this case #17 is 8-4 with 36/28 rounds. Even if they win all 4 matches 5-0, the best they can be is 12-4 56/28. In contrast, if the first place team losses all 4 matches, they would still qualify for playoffs because they are 12-4 56/20.
That is how I figured Seendio as the only team to have currently clinched a spot with 12 wins. Every other team can potentially be caught by another team ranked 17th or below. Maybe I am looking at it wrong.
[quote=thesupremecommander]If we're looking at just this week, the magic number currently stands at 13 wins or 12 wins and 57 RF. The number will probably drop this week if/when certain teams take losses.
Strictly mathematical elimination this week is 9 losses or 8 losses and <16 RF. This number will similarly rise if/when certain teams take wins.[/quote]
I always worked it out like this. The top 16 teams make playoffs, so you take the record of the #17 team and compare them to the #1 team.
In this case #17 is 8-4 with 36/28 rounds. Even if they win all 4 matches 5-0, the best they can be is 12-4 56/28. In contrast, if the first place team losses all 4 matches, they would still qualify for playoffs because they are 12-4 56/20.
That is how I figured Seendio as the only team to have currently clinched a spot with 12 wins. Every other team can potentially be caught by another team ranked 17th or below. Maybe I am looking at it wrong.
Does Omega Rhythm have a chance?
Does Omega Rhythm have a chance?
SpaceCadetI always worked it out like this. The top 16 teams make playoffs, so you take the record of the #17 team and compare them to the #1 team.
In this case #17 is 8-4 with 36/28 rounds. Even if they win all 4 matches 5-0, the best they can be is 12-4 56/28. In contrast, if the first place team losses all 4 matches, they would still qualify for playoffs because they are 12-4 56/20.
That is how I figured Seendio as the only team to have currently clinched a spot with 12 wins. Every other team can potentially be caught by another team ranked 17th or below. Maybe I am looking at it wrong.
I calculated it the same way. The only difference in my calculation was aligning with ESEA, which does not count RA for tiebreaking purposes, only RF (and only rounds taken in regulation, not even overtime).
[quote=SpaceCadet]I always worked it out like this. The top 16 teams make playoffs, so you take the record of the #17 team and compare them to the #1 team.
In this case #17 is 8-4 with 36/28 rounds. Even if they win all 4 matches 5-0, the best they can be is 12-4 56/28. In contrast, if the first place team losses all 4 matches, they would still qualify for playoffs because they are 12-4 56/20.
That is how I figured Seendio as the only team to have currently clinched a spot with 12 wins. Every other team can potentially be caught by another team ranked 17th or below. Maybe I am looking at it wrong.[/quote]
I calculated it the same way. The only difference in my calculation was aligning with ESEA, which does not count RA for tiebreaking purposes, only RF (and only rounds taken in regulation, not even overtime).
blendtecbwatbwatbwat is dead
rip bwat
[quote=blendtec]bwatbwatbwat is dead[/quote]
rip bwat
yup we should just kill the team right now.
yup we should just kill the team right now.