There's two crucial matches left to determine Main playoffs and I'll be casting both of them. With Whataburger Esports dying at the 11th hour, it grants just meatball a ticket to playoffs (seed TBD). With only 2.50 points of difference between these four squads, there's a variety of outcomes that will determine who will keep playing for glory and who will be sitting on the couch.
THURSDAY 10:30 EST - juggalos of cs:s (7-7, 21.33 pts.) vs. PLUMPWENCH (9-6, 26.01 pts.)
Match: https://rgl.gg/Public/Match.aspx?m=5859&r=40
As the team with the most points of the remaining four, Plumpwench have already secured themselves a playoff spot. Even if they were to lose 5-0, it's impossible for both the Stangers and Anglerfish to acquire enough points to knock Plumpwench out. What they are fighting for is seeding. Win by at least two rounds or more and they will get the 5th seed. If they only win by one round, then just meatball will take 5th seed while they get 6th. Should they lose, then their seed will be determined by how many rounds they earn and what happens in the Stangers vs. Anglerfish game.
juggalos will be the benefactor from the dead Whataburger roster, but they have their work cut out for them. Mainly, they still need to win. That will guarantee them a spot in playoffs while simultaneously hurting Plumpwench's seed. If they lose, they will want the Stangers to get the runback on Anglerfish AND for Anglerfish to not take many rounds. In a worst case scenario for them - ex: losing 5-0 to Plumpwench, they could still get in so long as Stangers win by two rounds or more. Taking as many rounds in a loss would help their cause, as would a considerable win by whichever victor of Stangers vs. Anglerfish.
FRIDAY 10:30 EST - Austin Anglerfish (9-6, 23.51 pts.) vs. Rodney & The Stangers (8-7, 24.82 pts.)
Match: https://rgl.gg/Public/Match.aspx?m=5856&r=40
The Stangers' situation is simple: win and in. No matter the scoreline, if they get the W they'll be in the playoffs at some seed or another. However you could also consider their case the most volatile, as if they lose they will need a ton of help from Plumpwench. If they lose and juggalos lose, it will come down to the rounds. If they lose but juggalos win, then they're almost certainly out. A 5-4 loss and a juggalos win is the only outcome where Rodney losing still gets them into playoffs.
For Anglerfish, they have the least amount of points so they want juggalos (the next lowest in total points) to lose. Any win all but guarantees a spot besides the aforementioned scenario where they win 5-4 but juggalos beat Plumpwench. If they lose 5-4 but juggalos lose 5-0, Anglerfish would make playoffs. No other outcome would work. What they do have going for them is a 5-4 win over the 2nd seed BEASTMODE yesterday, so there's that.
Since they are playing on Friday, after the juggalos vs. Plumpwench match happens, both these teams will have a clearer picture of what they need to get done. Of course there's a small chance my math is wrong but I...don't think so? Feel free to waste as much time as I did for something like this.
Catch all the action with chill beats and bad camerawork at twitch.tv/terywj