who wouldda guessed... corsa, statistically the best scout in the world
According to the automated Rankings, five of Australia’s top six current players are on No Safeword. The only chink in the armour it sees is Laan, the roamer, ranked miles away down in 282nd.
amazing
amazing
Hopefully it's not too impolite of me to bump this...
I've made a bunch of additions to the TF2Metrics project over the months since I started it. For one, the rankings list has some much-needed visual aids now, namely an automatically-generated class indicator next to everyone's names (based on whatever they last played) and deltas which show any positional or score changes to have happened over the course of the previous week.
I've also made a way for me to generate score predictions for matches based on the rankings scores of the individual participants involved. I call this the projection machine. Usually its predictions are broadly accurate, sometimes they're spot on, and sometimes they're completely barmy (in fact the same applies to the rankings list itself). It's all good fun either way.
I've also started publishing little graphics that show the data from matches that went 'on-record' and so affect the rankings. Update posts, such as this one, show these for every on-record match that happened since the previous update.
The blog has north of 50 posts now, and with i61 just around the corner I thought now might be a good time to invite people to revisit the project if they fancy it. I have a preview post for i61, which looks into the background of the Invite teams, and I also have the projection machine's impressions of the i61 group stage published, too.
Cheers!
I've made a bunch of additions to the TF2Metrics project over the months since I started it. For one, [url=https://www.dropbox.com/s/s4pnkrrvgjvw7pz/TF2Rankings.pdf?dl=0]the rankings list[/url] has some much-needed visual aids now, namely an automatically-generated class indicator next to everyone's names (based on whatever they last played) and deltas which show any positional or score changes to have happened over the course of the previous week.
I've also made a way for me to generate score predictions for matches based on the rankings scores of the individual participants involved. I call this the projection machine. Usually its predictions are broadly accurate, sometimes they're spot on, and sometimes they're completely barmy (in fact the same applies to the rankings list itself). It's all good fun either way.
I've also started publishing little graphics that show the data from matches that went 'on-record' and so affect the rankings. Update posts, such as [url=https://tf2metrics.wordpress.com/2017/08/21/update-roster-updates-for-insomnia-61/]this one[/url], show these for every on-record match that happened since the previous update.
[url=https://tf2metrics.wordpress.com/]The blog[/url] has north of 50 posts now, and with i61 just around the corner I thought now might be a good time to invite people to revisit the project if they fancy it. I have [url=https://tf2metrics.wordpress.com/2017/08/24/insomnia-61-preview/]a preview post for i61[/url], which looks into the background of the Invite teams, and I also have [url=https://tf2metrics.wordpress.com/2017/08/24/i61-group-stage-predictions/]the projection machine's impressions of the i61 group stage[/url] published, too.
Cheers!
Your i61 preview is actually far better than anything TF.TV or anyone else has put out so far tbh, would recommend others to check it out. Surprised this isn't more popular considering how much effort has been put into it.
What this all amounts to is a different kind of Insomnia LAN. Instead of a clash of the titans from all corners of the world, we’ll instead be treated to something that more closely resembles some sort of ETF2L Premiership Season 27.5 – with lots of hertz, no ping, and a significant prizepool – sped up to be done and dusted within a weekend. It’s not i55, but it still sounds highly compelling to me.
damn this is the best way anyone has phrased this i really love this sentence
damn this is the best way anyone has phrased this i really love this sentence
Player Rank: Phlps - 82
Player Rank: Sandblast - 117
I knew it
[quote]Player Rank: Sandblast - 117[/quote]
I knew it
dude rktman is on there. As far as I know he hasn't even played an esea match before? and he's also above several invite and prem players?
-Phantom-dude rktman is on there. As far as I know he hasn't even played an esea match before? and he's also above several invite and prem players?
http://i.imgur.com/ceeTCNm.png
http://i.imgur.com/vgJQQjN.png
you hate to see it happen
[img]http://i.imgur.com/ceeTCNm.png[/img]
[img]http://i.imgur.com/vgJQQjN.png[/img]
you hate to see it happen
-Phantom-dude rktman is on there. As far as I know he hasn't even played an esea match before? and he's also above several invite and prem players?
rktman was an alias cody used in a couple of ESEA matches this season
rktman was an alias cody used in a couple of ESEA matches this season
1StirlingHopefully it's not too impolite of me to bump this...
I've made a bunch of additions to the TF2Metrics project over the months since I started it. For one, the rankings list has some much-needed visual aids now, namely an automatically-generated class indicator next to everyone's names (based on whatever they last played) and deltas which show any positional or score changes to have happened over the course of the previous week.
I've also made a way for me to generate score predictions for matches based on the rankings scores of the individual participants involved. I call this the projection machine. Usually its predictions are broadly accurate, sometimes they're spot on, and sometimes they're completely barmy (in fact the same applies to the rankings list itself). It's all good fun either way.
I've also started publishing little graphics that show the data from matches that went 'on-record' and so affect the rankings. Update posts, such as this one, show these for every on-record match that happened since the previous update.
The blog has north of 50 posts now, and with i61 just around the corner I thought now might be a good time to invite people to revisit the project if they fancy it. I have a preview post for i61, which looks into the background of the Invite teams, and I also have the projection machine's impressions of the i61 group stage published, too.
Cheers!
That was an amazing write-up!
I've made a bunch of additions to the TF2Metrics project over the months since I started it. For one, [url=https://www.dropbox.com/s/s4pnkrrvgjvw7pz/TF2Rankings.pdf?dl=0]the rankings list[/url] has some much-needed visual aids now, namely an automatically-generated class indicator next to everyone's names (based on whatever they last played) and deltas which show any positional or score changes to have happened over the course of the previous week.
I've also made a way for me to generate score predictions for matches based on the rankings scores of the individual participants involved. I call this the projection machine. Usually its predictions are broadly accurate, sometimes they're spot on, and sometimes they're completely barmy (in fact the same applies to the rankings list itself). It's all good fun either way.
I've also started publishing little graphics that show the data from matches that went 'on-record' and so affect the rankings. Update posts, such as [url=https://tf2metrics.wordpress.com/2017/08/21/update-roster-updates-for-insomnia-61/]this one[/url], show these for every on-record match that happened since the previous update.
[url=https://tf2metrics.wordpress.com/]The blog[/url] has north of 50 posts now, and with i61 just around the corner I thought now might be a good time to invite people to revisit the project if they fancy it. I have [url=https://tf2metrics.wordpress.com/2017/08/24/insomnia-61-preview/]a preview post for i61[/url], which looks into the background of the Invite teams, and I also have [url=https://tf2metrics.wordpress.com/2017/08/24/i61-group-stage-predictions/]the projection machine's impressions of the i61 group stage[/url] published, too.
Cheers![/quote]
That was an amazing write-up!
Hope you don't mind if i add it to [url=http://comp.tf/wiki/Insomnia61#Playoffs]i61[/url] page on comp.tf
lazhttp://i.imgur.com/ceeTCNm.png
http://i.imgur.com/vgJQQjN.png
you hate to see it happen
There are certainly big inaccuracies in the list. It can only go off the data available of course, and for these two there's only a small amount of it from officials in the past year. T0m's a great example of how misleading the data can sometimes be, even when there's a lot to go off of - one of the best roamers in Europe and he's only ranked 270th. Often the numbers can't give the full picture.
You might notice Delpo used to be ranked much much higher, peaking at 42nd. That was back in his EVL days. Since then he's only had fleeting appearances in Invite, and this system rewards consistent prominence at the top level. That's why his status is reduced for now. I certainly shan't claim it's an accurate representation of ability in this case.
ymRaisinrktman was an alias cody used in a couple of ESEA matches this season
I'll be sure to amend that. It's certainly not the first time I've fallen foul to aliases.
cirloThat was an amazing write-up!
Hope you don't mind if i add it to i61 page on comp.tf
Not at all.
[img]http://i.imgur.com/vgJQQjN.png[/img]
you hate to see it happen[/quote]
There are certainly big inaccuracies in the list. It can only go off the data available of course, and for these two there's only a small amount of it from officials in the past year. T0m's a great example of how misleading the data can sometimes be, even when there's a lot to go off of - one of the best roamers in Europe and he's only ranked 270th. Often the numbers can't give the full picture.
You might notice Delpo used to be ranked much much higher, peaking at 42nd. That was back in his EVL days. Since then he's only had fleeting appearances in Invite, and this system rewards consistent prominence at the top level. That's why his status is reduced for now. I certainly shan't claim it's an accurate representation of ability in this case.
[quote=ymRaisin]
rktman was an alias cody used in a couple of ESEA matches this season[/quote]
I'll be sure to amend that. It's certainly not the first time I've fallen foul to aliases.
[quote=cirlo]That was an amazing write-up!
Hope you don't mind if i add it to [url=http://comp.tf/wiki/Insomnia61#Playoffs]i61[/url] page on comp.tf[/quote]
Not at all.
It's been a year since I last drew attention to this thread before i61, so on the eve of i63 I thought I might trouble you all with another cheeky bump.
I've just completed a preview post for i63 here. It's quite different from what I did last year, focusing on statistical trends and speculation rather than the backstories of the teams involved. A few questionable conclusions were certainly reached, but I suppose that's where the fun lies. The last noteworthy thing this ranking model did in the run-up to i63 was to predict that France would win the ETF2L Nations Cup, and, well... if it's equally inaccurate about i63 as it was the Nations Cup, Svift are gonna win it.
Anyway, thanks for stopping by.
I've just completed a preview post for i63 [url=https://wp.me/p8wlTV-2FV]here[/url]. It's quite different from what I did last year, focusing on statistical trends and speculation rather than the backstories of the teams involved. A few questionable conclusions were certainly reached, but I suppose that's where the fun lies. The last noteworthy thing this ranking model did in the run-up to i63 was to predict that France would win the ETF2L Nations Cup, and, well... if it's equally inaccurate about i63 as it was the Nations Cup, Svift are gonna win it.
Anyway, thanks for stopping by.
1StirlingMany, myself included, are expecting to see a masterclass by Froyotech this weekend in which not even Se7en are able to trouble them much. This ranking system thinks otherwise, however. It concedes that Froyoteh should be considered the favourites, but it believes the advantage they have over Se7en is only going to be small. In a few days this may be attributed to a stroke of genius, or, more likely, a quirk of the way that scores are calculated.
Genius Savant
Genius Savant