Go Foxes!
Beater, nuze and gemm
Players | CL | DPM | DMG | K | A | D | HR% | HR | CPC | MP | UC | UCD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7.Raymon | 9.4 | 214 | 1 | 4 | 9 | – | – | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | |
7.kaidus | 191 | 4333 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 23% | 4438 | 3 | 0 | – | – | |
7.Drackk | 195.6 | 4436 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 12% | 2375 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
7.kaptain | 257 | 5830 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 28% | 5360 | 0 | 2 | – | – | |
7.paddie | 92.4 | 2096 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17% | 3309 | 5 | 1 | – | – | |
7.Thalash | 185.3 | 4204 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 21% | 4006 | 3 | 3 | – | – |
Players | CL | DPM | DMG | K | A | D | HR% | HR | CPC | MP | UC | UCD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raptor.aF | 9.6 | 217 | 1 | 12 | 6 | – | – | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | |
alle.aF | 240.3 | 5450 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 25% | 4669 | 5 | 3 | – | – | |
dd5f.aF | 214.1 | 4857 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 15% | 2820 | 7 | 2 | – | – | |
Silentes.aF | 346 | 7848 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 26% | 4859 | 1 | 3 | – | – | |
Maros.aF | 200.2 | 4542 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 16% | 2887 | 9 | 1 | – | – | |
Thaigrr.aF | 216.5 | 4910 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 17% | 3101 | 8 | 0 | – | – |
_segfaultdd?
dd said on stream that he'll probably be playing because Maros asked him if he was going to play, probably a roster error from last match vs Lowpander
dd said on stream that he'll probably be playing because Maros asked him if he was going to play, probably a roster error from last match vs Lowpander
(WHEN THE WRITE UP IS TOO LONG TO FIT, WE IMPROVISE!)
This is it. This is what this exciting season has led up to. We've seen games defaulted, Se7en drop points and maps, all kinds of crazy roster swaps and substitutions, and even saw Lowpander end the season in second place. Arctic Foxes and Se7en have taken all of that in stride and made their way here, to this, the ETF2L S27 Grand Final.
Se7en have had the expected very dominant season, with a few hiccups along the way, dropping points to Lowpander and a map to unexpected. Legends Stark and kaidus returned to the roster, only to have Stark replaced by Paddie later in the season. They've had a fairly bumpy playoffs ride, trading maps with LEGO before rolling them on Badlands in Round 1, followed by the UB Final where they exchanged close maps with Lowpander before narrowly taking the series in a golden cap on Badlands in the UB Final.
Opponents Arctic Foxes have had a good season, as expected, finishing third right behind Lowpander. Since the beginning of the season, they have swapped Puoskari for Thaigrr on scout, and have had to use mercs in the playoffs due to the demise of adamracek's PC, and will probably use alle on demo? for this game. They have also had a rough ride through playoffs, losing a close series against Lowpander in Round 1 before crushing LEGO in the Lower Bracket and dispatching Lowpander in 2 maps in the LB finals (despite having two mercs).
Last season, when these two teams met in the Grand Final, Arctic Foxes didn't have much to say, losing 2-0. This season, when these two teams met (with roster changes in tow) Se7en defeated the Foxes once again, dropping 0 points. Now, as these two slightly different teams meet one more time, Se7en are looking somewhat shaky while Arctic Foxes appear to be playing well despite the mercs. If someone was going to topple long reigning champs Se7en, it should be Arctic Foxes, right here, right now. Best of luck to both teams!
This is it. This is what this exciting season has led up to. We've seen games defaulted, Se7en drop points and maps, all kinds of crazy roster swaps and substitutions, and even saw Lowpander end the season in second place. Arctic Foxes and Se7en have taken all of that in stride and made their way here, to this, the ETF2L S27 Grand Final.
Se7en have had the expected very dominant season, with a few hiccups along the way, dropping points to Lowpander and a map to unexpected. Legends Stark and kaidus returned to the roster, only to have Stark replaced by Paddie later in the season. They've had a fairly bumpy playoffs ride, trading maps with LEGO before rolling them on Badlands in Round 1, followed by the UB Final where they exchanged close maps with Lowpander before narrowly taking the series in a golden cap on Badlands in the UB Final.
Opponents Arctic Foxes have had a good season, as expected, finishing third right behind Lowpander. Since the beginning of the season, they have swapped Puoskari for Thaigrr on scout, and have had to use mercs in the playoffs due to the demise of adamracek's PC, and will probably use alle on demo? for this game. They have also had a rough ride through playoffs, losing a close series against Lowpander in Round 1 before crushing LEGO in the Lower Bracket and dispatching Lowpander in 2 maps in the LB finals (despite having two mercs).
Last season, when these two teams met in the Grand Final, Arctic Foxes didn't have much to say, losing 2-0. This season, when these two teams met (with roster changes in tow) Se7en defeated the Foxes once again, dropping 0 points. Now, as these two slightly different teams meet one more time, Se7en are looking somewhat shaky while Arctic Foxes appear to be playing well despite the mercs. If someone was going to topple long reigning champs Se7en, it should be Arctic Foxes, right here, right now. Best of luck to both teams!
anyone know if alle+dd are playing ?
edit: heck i got predicted
edit: heck i got predicted
Come on Arctic Foxes! I'm pretty sure most of us are tired of Se7en winning every season since it's starting to get boring
yeah it's so boring when the best team rightfully wins ugh
Raymonyeah it's so boring when the best team rightfully wins ugh
7 slow die
7 slow die
Re4lityEemes.aF Goodluck :)
eemes is on holiday
eemes is on holiday
Beater, nuze and gemm, 2 non cancerous teams, dis gon b gud
Nerding it up briefly, doing a least squares regression of the season's results 7 and aF are the two outstanding teams, 7 stand at +2.3 rounds over average and aF at +2.0.
7's offensive scores are at +1.6 over average and aF's at +1.2, both team's defensive scores are at +1.05 rounds over average. The most likely score from either team in a given map is 4-3 to 7 (12% of the time)
A probability matrix of Poisson distributions on the mean scores by either team throughout the season gives 7 a 55% chance of victory on any particular map in regular time with aF on 33%, with a 12% chance of going to GC (and the same percentage split for who wins that)
However the biggest error in the least squares regression was 7's week 1 spanking of aF 6 - 1 on Badlands (an even bigger shock than unexpected's win over 7 on Granary) so the possibility remains that 7 have extra gears available, and that aF's style is perfect fodder for them.
*Disclaimer - Product probably fucks a lot of the figures up above, but I can't be bothered to fix it
7's offensive scores are at +1.6 over average and aF's at +1.2, both team's defensive scores are at +1.05 rounds over average. The most likely score from either team in a given map is 4-3 to 7 (12% of the time)
A probability matrix of Poisson distributions on the mean scores by either team throughout the season gives 7 a 55% chance of victory on any particular map in regular time with aF on 33%, with a 12% chance of going to GC (and the same percentage split for who wins that)
However the biggest error in the least squares regression was 7's week 1 spanking of aF 6 - 1 on Badlands (an even bigger shock than unexpected's win over 7 on Granary) so the possibility remains that 7 have extra gears available, and that aF's style is perfect fodder for them.
*Disclaimer - Product probably fucks a lot of the figures up above, but I can't be bothered to fix it
GentlemanJonNerding it up briefly, doing a least squares regression of the season's results 7 and aF are the two outstanding teams, 7 stand at +2.3 rounds over average and aF at +2.0.
7's offensive scores are at +1.6 over average and aF's at +1.2, both team's defensive scores are at +1.05 rounds over average. The most likely score from either team in a given map is 4-3 to 7 (12% of the time)
A probability matrix of Poisson distributions on the mean scores by either team throughout the season gives 7 a 55% chance of victory on any particular map in regular time with aF on 33%, with a 12% chance of going to GC (and the same percentage split for who wins that)
However the biggest error in the least squares regression was 7's week 1 spanking of aF 6 - 1 on Badlands (an even bigger shock than unexpected's win over 7 on Granary) so the possibility remains that 7 have extra gears available, and that aF's style is perfect fodder for them.
*Disclaimer - Product probably fucks a lot of the figures up above, but I can't be bothered to fix it
have you also accounted for roster changes when you were doing these? because I mean thaigrr has been kinda farming people since he joined soooo
7's offensive scores are at +1.6 over average and aF's at +1.2, both team's defensive scores are at +1.05 rounds over average. The most likely score from either team in a given map is 4-3 to 7 (12% of the time)
A probability matrix of Poisson distributions on the mean scores by either team throughout the season gives 7 a 55% chance of victory on any particular map in regular time with aF on 33%, with a 12% chance of going to GC (and the same percentage split for who wins that)
However the biggest error in the least squares regression was 7's week 1 spanking of aF 6 - 1 on Badlands (an even bigger shock than unexpected's win over 7 on Granary) so the possibility remains that 7 have extra gears available, and that aF's style is perfect fodder for them.
*Disclaimer - Product probably fucks a lot of the figures up above, but I can't be bothered to fix it[/quote]
have you also accounted for roster changes when you were doing these? because I mean thaigrr has been kinda farming people since he joined soooo
GentlemanJonNerding it up briefly, doing a least squares regression of the season's results 7 and aF are the two outstanding teams, 7 stand at +2.3 rounds over average and aF at +2.0.
7's offensive scores are at +1.6 over average and aF's at +1.2, both team's defensive scores are at +1.05 rounds over average. The most likely score from either team in a given map is 4-3 to 7 (12% of the time)
A probability matrix of Poisson distributions on the mean scores by either team throughout the season gives 7 a 55% chance of victory on any particular map in regular time with aF on 33%, with a 12% chance of going to GC (and the same percentage split for who wins that)
However the biggest error in the least squares regression was 7's week 1 spanking of aF 6 - 1 on Badlands (an even bigger shock than unexpected's win over 7 on Granary) so the possibility remains that 7 have extra gears available, and that aF's style is perfect fodder for them.
*Disclaimer - Product probably fucks a lot of the figures up above, but I can't be bothered to fix it
I legit love when stats become involved with TF2 like this
7's offensive scores are at +1.6 over average and aF's at +1.2, both team's defensive scores are at +1.05 rounds over average. The most likely score from either team in a given map is 4-3 to 7 (12% of the time)
A probability matrix of Poisson distributions on the mean scores by either team throughout the season gives 7 a 55% chance of victory on any particular map in regular time with aF on 33%, with a 12% chance of going to GC (and the same percentage split for who wins that)
However the biggest error in the least squares regression was 7's week 1 spanking of aF 6 - 1 on Badlands (an even bigger shock than unexpected's win over 7 on Granary) so the possibility remains that 7 have extra gears available, and that aF's style is perfect fodder for them.
*Disclaimer - Product probably fucks a lot of the figures up above, but I can't be bothered to fix it[/quote]
I legit love when stats become involved with TF2 like this
Spritehave you also accounted for roster changes when you were doing these? because I mean thaigrr has been kinda farming people since he joined soooo
No but I do have an alternate model where his Dad plays instead. 5-0 to aF
No but I do have an alternate model where his Dad plays instead. 5-0 to aF
GentlemanJonSpritehave you also accounted for roster changes when you were doing these? because I mean thaigrr has been kinda farming people since he joined sooooNo but I do have an alternate model where his Dad plays instead. 5-0 to aF
What if the Dads of both sides where playing
No but I do have an alternate model where his Dad plays instead. 5-0 to aF[/quote]
What if the Dads of both sides where playing
DuMmTmWhat if the Dads of both sides where playing
With all due respect to Midnight Mick I don't think he has the MGE pedigree
With all due respect to Midnight Mick I don't think he has the MGE pedigree
GentlemanJonWith all due respect to Midnight Mick I don't think he has the MGE pedigree
Nah, I just kicked arse in a UT99 & 2004, real man games! ;)
With all due respect to Midnight Mick I don't think he has the MGE pedigree[/quote]
Nah, I just kicked arse in a UT99 & 2004, real man games! ;)
GentlemanJonNo but I do have an alternate model where his Dad plays instead. 5-0 to aF
Account sharing investigation to begin after the Gullywash result
Account sharing investigation to begin after the Gullywash result