Open Power Rankings Vol. 5. Notes (3/3/19)
In contrast to last week's games scrambling my rankings, this week has been more predictable. The top four have been sorted out (sort of), but there's still a lot of uncertainty among the middle/lower end of the list with a number of teams just inches away from securing their place in the post-season.
#1 Simian Aggression (14-0)
In their most difficult match of the season, Simian Aggression lost more rounds to Enoch in one match
than they have in the rest of the season combined. Nonetheless, they came out the other side with a 5-3 win, cementing them as the current kings of open, my #1 pick, and most likely, the #1 seed for playoffs. Interestingly, one player on the team mentioned that they had lost the majority of their scrims to Enoch, but I guess it didn't matter come match day. Simian Aggression should be favored to win the division, but a rematch with Enoch or even The Boomers isn't free lunch by any means.
#2 The Boomers (13-1) [+1]
After falling to Simian Aggression last week, The Boomers have quickly re-affirmed their place at the top of the division by beating Enoch eSports in a close game. Unless a miracle upset happens, they'll probably stay at #2 for the rest of the regular season. Even though Simian Aggression boomed The Boomers in their first meeting, keep in mind that match was on Propaganda, a new map, which can throw a wrench into things. The next meeting might be closer.
#3 Enoch eSports (11-2) [-1]
Enoch eSports' 11 game streak came to an end against Simian Aggression, and The Boomers followed up, giving Enoch eSports their second 5-3 loss. At this point, I'd say all of the top 4 teams are in the championship race considering both of this team's losses were competitive.
#4 Snore (11-3)
They've lost to the three other top teams (one of those sort of down a player), but they still are still pretty even with the other top teams. Snore had a close call on Product, nearly losing to 5Head, but woke up in the second half and took home the win.
#5 Moshi Moshi VAC Ban Desu (10-5)
In their toughest challenge of the remaining season, these guys defended their rank from MyAnimeList Academy in a back and forth game on Metalworks. It looks like they righted the ship just in time to get a good playoff seed after their rough start.
#6 There We Go (10-3) [+1]
After coasting through most of the season with either forfeits or easy opponents, There We Go got the chance to show they really do belong at the top by rolling through Carrier Penguins and Toaster in the Bath.
#7 MyAnimeList Academy (10-4) [-1]
Although they weren't able to topple Moshi Moshi VAC Ban Desu, they're still in a good position to make an upper 8 seeding.
#8 SliceRogue is Banned (11-3) [+1]
SliceRogue is Banned's season got off to a rocky start at 1-3, but SliceRogue is Banned has won every game since the start of February. Their schedule was on the easy side, but regardless, they've secured a good seed in the playoffs and defeated some solid teams. I predict they'll enter playoffs as the 5th seed since they'll likely win their last two games (one of them is a dead team). As a side note, I had no idea ESEA let you have this many characters in your team's bio page: https://play.esea.net/teams/8730268
#9 Longerboys (10-4) [+8]
The Longerboys have risen up. Two weeks ago I wasn't sure if they were alive, or if they were still good, but since their roster change up, they've showed they're as good as they have been all season.
#10 Team Win Steel (10-4) [-2]
In a critical game against 5Head, Team Win Steel battled back from an early deficit to make their tenth win, essentially securing their playoff spot. Following their loss to Longerboys, it looks like 5Head will likely be Team Win Steel's last win of the regular season considering the strength of their next opponents.
#11 5Head (9-5)
Playing on this team must be incredibly stressful considering their last 4 games have all been won or lost by 1 round. Even though they couldn't close the show against Snore, making it a close one has bumped up their stock a little bit.
#12 Toaster in the Bath (9-4) [-2]
It looked like trouble when Hugs and Kisses started out strong against Toaster in the Bath, but the Toasters were able to regroup and finish the match 5-2. There We Go gave them their most one sided loss of the season, but still, this team could very well end the season with 12 wins if the dice fall the right way in their final three games.
#13 Lion Coalition (9-5) [-1]
Lion Coalition recovered from the previous week's loss by mauling a couple of low ranked teams. Unless they completely beef it in their match versus Plumpwench, they should make playoffs.
#14 Good Damage (8-6)
Last week, I said Good Damage 2 needs to win out to have a chance, and so far, they're accomplishing that. While I favor them versus the Keyboard Lords, the match against Toaster in the Bath could be the key match that determines their fate.
#15 Carrier Penguins (8-5) [-2]
In this last part of the season, the Penguins are tasked with three difficult opponents standing by the gate to playoffs. It looks like they'll need one final push to make the 9 or 10 wins needed to make it through, and I think they may make it, but it's going to be a tough stretch.
#16 Home Run Thomas (8-5) [+1]
In a long, dragged out game (much like an actual baseball game) versus the Longerboys, Home Run Thomas just barely came up short. Considering they needed another win to stay in the race, it's an unfortunate loss. Their upcoming matchup against Enjoy Freezing is critical; it's probably a play-in game for the final playoff spot.
Honorable Mentions (Counted as tied for #17)
Enjoy Freezing (7-6) [-1]
Basically the same situation as above, but on top of needing a win over Home Run Thomas, they also have to upset Toaster in the Bath. A hard task, but not unimaginable either.
The N-Word Free Zone (8-6) [-2]
5Head wasn't the only team to let their opponent come back on them ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) last Tuesday. The N-Word Free Zone looked strong in the first half, but the Longerboys slithered through and won 5-3. Due to bad luck of the draw in terms of matchmaking, it looks like the N-Word Free Zone will conclude the season at 8-8 and miss playoffs unless they can show up big against Snore or The Boomers. I feel like they're a little better than their record shows, but that's just how scheduling works sometimes, I guess.
TLDR:
-Apes still #1, Boomers #2, Enoch #3
-5Head almost upset Snore on Product
-Longerboys back in town
-Made minor edit 10:50 to #3 & #4 comments based on feedback.
Final (?) update coming after the last regular season match (probably about 3/13~).