As a community, we've always been dependant on people who lift a finger in terms of coverage, as I answer the seagull's cry for some sort of preview article, but ultimately there is a bigger underhand issue with Season 18 of ETF2L, one I have not seen since the days of my infancy. This was back in Season 9 when THREE out of the TEN Premiership teams folded during the season and the entirety of the top 4 from the previous season: Power Gaming, 'Old' Epsilon, ButtonBashers and 'Old' Dignitas all snubbed signups (well ButtonBashers signed up but folded pretty quickly). This was partly due to dissatisfaction with rulesets and partly due to an emerging competitor to ETF2L, ESL offering more promise for TF2's development as an 'e-sport' at the time, but historical differences aside, this was the biggest crisis European TF2 had ever faced and apart from i46, was the lowest point in European TF2's history.
But now we're into a new crisis in EU TF2, the top of the scene has been ravaged by folds, players leaving, taking a break and the quality of the scene is said to be at it's lowest since these darker days. But is it? What with newer talents bearing fruit from training mods like MGE, encouraging people to play the game constantly, people with better computers than ever before, more access to Demos, videos, streams and resources and over-developed ideals on how to play TF2 at the highest level, comparing the skill level of TF2 over the years is as meaningless as discussing who would win an MGE contest between Myself and Epsilon's Mike - I would hide in house with a sticky trap and make him ragequit, no contest really. To find the answer to this, you really need to look at where we were this time last year, after the end of Season 14 and moving onto the start of Season 15 and compare the players and teams alive at the time.
I would argue that Season 15 was one of the most competitive in ETF2L's history, not to mention one of the most highly skilled in terms of active teams, but there has always been a gap, so to speak between the top teams and the middle and bottom teams, but on this occasion the top was incredibly competitive. You had the following teams with the following rosters:
Epsilon eSports
*Knoxx* | *Numlocked* | *Mike* | *GeaR* | *Stefen* | *Bash* |
Broder
*Mirelin* | *Ryb* | *Zebbosai* | *Jukebox* | *Cookye* | *Bybben* |
Crack Clan #
*2nuts* | *Brego* | *Ipz* | *T-Mac* | *Tviq* | *Smzi* |
BFF #
*Skeej* | *Kaidus* | *Daleth* | *Flisko* | *Greg* | *Kil4r4fun* |
The thing to note about this season was that Epsilon, Broder and Crack Clan were leagues better than anyone else, Epsilon proved to be too strong for the other two whilst Broder overcame Crack Clan, of the 24 players mentioned on these top 4 teams, 17 of them went on to play for their respective teams at i49, whilst BFF folded and saw Kaidus picked up to replace Brego on demoman at the event for Crack Clan, who finished 5th/6th whilst the other top teams, Broder and Epsilon showed the world they truly were the best two sides on the planet at that particular point. To bring my point to life, the skill level of Broder and Epsilon was higher than anything we've ever seen in European TF2 from before and since.
Now onwards to the present day and we have Season 18, ETF2L is legally an adult after a shaky childhood, the teenage years have been grand, up until the responsibility and reality of adulthood kicked in, with less to look forward to and we all know ETF2L would be one of those people who dropped out of College and got a job at McDonalds. Let's have a look at what most people predict the top 4 to be this season:
Epsilon eSports
*Raymon* | *Either Hys or Ryb* | *Knoxx* | *Mike* | *Kil4r4fun* | *Bash* |
BFF #
*Mirelin* | *Kaidus* | *Zebbosai* | *Knuttson* | *Fl1p* | *Stark* |
Fenneks eSports#
*Skeej* | * Either Brego / War or Ryb* | *Klar* | *KillAri* | *gf18* | *Wltrs* |
GGWP.Pro#
*Whiteglow* | *gdk* | *forsak3n* | *ShadowBurn* | *Atomic* | *msh* |
European TF2 has peaked at i49 and dropped down, if I was Gentlemen Jon I would provide an elaborate graph of skill level over the years based off of team success, strength and statistical data of individual data, but it's plain to see a lot of QUALITY players have left the scene, not just at the top end of the scene but also towards the Lower half of Prem over the years. Yes some players who have competed in times gone by have been pretty good with potential to go further, but no more than this current generation but I think the big difference is the top quality players like Cookye, Stefen, GeaR, Numlocked, Bybben, Jukebox, Ipz and so on not gracing us with their presence this season. When there are players of this calibre leaving the game, some of which may never come back, you aren't going to see the skill level increase season after season, until players and teams form with the desire to be as dominant, as good and as impactful on the game as the past greats, some of which will soon be long dead in our memory (do people even talk about Haza, Rebeli, Hymzi, Hocz, Jh, Shintaz, Cube, Agron and Darn anymore?)
This is another thing to talk about – the DESIRE to be the best. The motivation to improve, the attitude, the willingness to play at the highest level and go toe-to-toe with the greats of the game. It doesn't take a lot to be in Prem these days, and to be honest it never has taken a lot to play in the Lower end of Premiership but what European TF2 lacks more than top tier talent (there is still a lot left in the game) is team leaders who are not only quality players but have the attitude of wanting to be the best and surround themselves with the right team that share the same goals and desire to be placed amongst the best. Crack Clan team of season 15, with Ipz as their in-game leader is the best example of a team that took a chance on newer blood, practised a hell of a lot, spent more time going over strategies and watching demos than most of us study in school. And with that roster, they turned into one of the best teams in Europe at a time where European TF2 was peaking in terms of skill level. A more recent person with that determination to be the best is Hys, leading TLR to take 2nd place last season, he has certainly built a reputation as one of the more formidable callers in the scene as of recent seasons. Aside from these two, plus Zebbosai from his Broder maincalling days can you really think of too many other people from even the last two years to emerge as great in-game leaders to match the best of the best? 3 players in 2 years, isn't very much really but perhaps that is the nature of TF2 as a competitive scene.
It is partly the reason I committed myself to come back with a team of players mostly from Highlander, in the form of my side, Lazy Pandas. Not because we're likely to compete with the Premiership teams at the top but because the amount of raw talent that has proven itself at the top Highlander may eventually transition to bringing out top drawer players in 6v6. Yes I was mostly inspired by the success of Street Hoops eSports, but that side has had a few seasons in ESEA to work with and forming success, we're in our first full season as a team and we've jumped straight into Prem. In any other season, we would be placed in Division 1, we're the same skill level as a lot of the current Division 1 crop from the limited time we've practised with our actual roster but what I find really disappointing is the LACK OF DESIRE some of the other teams had to be placed in Premiership.
We have for the first time ever (unless another team forms in the next few days) a 7 team Premiership division and my understanding is we got our Prem spot based on the fact we had the ambition to want to play in Prem, whether we're ready to or not. However many of the other teams did not wish to be placed at the highest level European TF2 has to offer, whether or not they fancy some free mousepads (shoutout to Tt eSports for their continued support of European TF2 and TF2pickup.net for donating £100 for the Div 1 prize) but as a player I am merely stumped at how people don't want to play versus the best players left in Europe and see what they can do. With the current state of the lower Prem, you will face teams on your skill level so I am a little saddened to see teams lack ambition.
We're a scene wholly dependant on community contributions and self-sustained levels of interest, not sponsors or developer support so as long as people give a shit, we will go on. Is the skill level of Higher level European TF2 dying? Well, yes the evidence is there all around us and it's because so many capable Premiership players have left or cannot find the right team, motivation or time to continue playing. Come i52 and assuming we see some more top North American teams and the illustrious Australian side, Team Immunity (Oh god I hope they come over again), it will be hard to see if Epsilon can keep up, let alone BFF and any other side that graces the playoffs this season.
Is TF2 dead? Only if we stop bringing in new players every season, the 20 or so less signups seem to suggest we're slowly stagnating but that isn't to say we won't see old faces return (the Frenchies aka Awsomniac are taking a season break) but the scene will not die if new players keep coming back, and a lot is being done to reach out to new players such as The Highlander Open and with TF2center's growing popularity, more can always be done to get new blood in the scene right down at the Division 6 level. So long as we have people willing to put their time and effort into the game beyond just playing TF2, but also contributing with articles, casts, coverage, tournaments, leagues and content – TF2 won't die.
And afterwards? Season 19 – will we see reforms? More great leaders and players lose interest? Or will there be old faces returning to the fray and more great events (GXL? Something special pulled out from the unknown?) to keep people interested and playing? It's here where you really do appreciate what ESEA does for North American TF2, keeping such great players interested (though we've seen a few stop playing over recent years) but to still have that level of irreplaceable talent interested in playing, to still have Classic Mixup and a B4nny team going after all this time is incredible, the promise of ESEA LANs is the sort of motivation needed to keep a lot of great players coming back and well....it remains to be seen what will happen this side of the pond. Bring on Season 18 and let's have another international LAN this summer, this scene still has some life yet.
I did mention something about a preview, maybe next week...there isn't too much to say right now about each side especially since I haven't seen most of the teams in action.