WEEK 3

POWER RANKINGS

1. Twelve Years (=)
   
2. Sweaty Spaghetti (=)
   
3. Chickenheads BE QUIET(+1)
   
4. triiiple ak (+1)
   
5. fgp (+1)
   
6. PERUTECH (-3)
   
7. Sekt Mafia (+1)
   
8. Go Raw (+1)
   
9. Obese Whales (-2)
   
10. Looking for Padre (=)

triiiple ak bumped up for a close win against Sweaty (ringer diff)
fgp bumped up for a close win against chickenheads (also ringer diff)
chickenheads stay above triiiple for a more consistent record overall
PERUTECH down 3 for a convincing loss against Chickenheads
obese whales will continue to derank weekly until they actually play their matches
looking for padre remain the gatekeepers of the top 10

fgp and obese whales both have yet to play some important W3 matches so i might retool these on sunday if there's an upset

PLAYER RANKINGS

https://i.imgur.com/FP851SF.png

not much change this week for player rankings
scouty's much-expected departure shifts the flank scouts up basically 1 each
swapped positions: Jason/sagejay, Rebel/Vio, Maeko/earl, smuG/k1ng, tojo

full 20 18 team weekly rankings on the 2nd tab of the main spreadsheet

Fireside Casts will be doing a surprise Main match tonight, covering Obese Whales vs Sekt Mafia @ 10:30 EST. https://twitch.tv/firesidecasts

jayy + deltamarket on mic
antlers on production!

doing a whole new post for some updates since the Sunday matches were interesting

WEEK 3 v2

POWER RANKINGS

1. Sidetalk (ex-Twelve Years) (=)
   
2. fgp (+4)
   
3. Chickenheads BE QUIET (=)
   
4. Obese Whales (+5)
   
5. triiiple ak (=)
   
6. Sweaty Spaghetti (-4)
   
7. PERUTECH (-1)
   
8. Sekt Mafia (-1)
   
9. Go Raw (=)
   
10. Looking for Padre (=)

fgp are up big time after their win against Sidetalk. they stay at 2 even tho they beat Sidetalk cos i dont trust a 3-1 metalworks win, and they struggled against the #3 and 5 teams
obese whales are up now that theyve actually played real matches with their real roster
Sweaty Spaghetti are down cos im not sure why i put them at #2 to begin with

the top 6 maybe 7 is still pretty close this season, looking forward 2 seeing important matches on a real map this week

Week 4a Preds

fgp > spaghetti - fgp has a really good pickup in scouty and spaghetti has to play with a sub on flank scout (maybe even had to pick them up this weekend lol idk), plus fgp undefeated so.

sidetalk > obese whales - my strategy of simply predding for sidetalk every week has failed me, simply inconceivable. Anyway, I do think they're still stronger on paper and i think snakewater is not the best bazooka map (idk feel free to prove me wrong i'm just spitballing here).

triiiple == chicken - gl;hf

go raw! < perutech - Finally get to see go raw against a playoff contender. Perutech had a rough time last week but I imagine their soldier duo is more comfortable on this map. Have to pred for Perutech because it's very hard to gauge go raw!'s strength given their schedule but would not be surprised if this is close/raw win.

spicy > bucket - bones is released from rgl jail and is going to go nuts as a result (I have no idea about this match.)

LFP < sekt mafia - sekt mafia has to redo their soldier combo but I think they're still better on paper

Jaguar > BB - just seem better

xXx ?????? pregame head - i have no idea

I have tec's secret kovvaks playlist, bucket is getting the heat (big ups j0hn l0ne)

i feel like snakewater is good bazooka map cuz they skybox is high on every point but i could be wrong ofc

https://clips.twitch.tv/PlumpRenownedHamsterFUNgineer

imagine what else he's figured out in 2 years

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/426243448723603457/986541616506474526/unknown.png

https://www.twitch.tv/antonifp/clip/ApatheticDirtySalsifyMVGame

W4B Preds

fgp > whales - Exciting match, not 100% sure what fgp roster is though. I think scouts are stronger on fgp if they have the duo I think they have which will make the difference here, although there are clearly some x factors in play...

My theory was that sacking into second seems more difficult cause it's easier to spot and spam something like lower or through saw unless you are an absolute psychopath and hit something through window. Think most 5cp mids have high skyboxes; not sure about last. But again i simply theorycraft feel free to tell me if it was owning in ur match.

sidetalk == triiiple ak - gl;hf

chicken > sweaty - spaghetti 1st half vs. fgp was uh ... yeah don't press tab.

go raw! > bucket - dominant vs perutech, better on paper etc.

spicy > perutech - Alright I've been making some incredibly soy predictions so far so my first slightly hot take is that spicy is fired up and really wants this win. If I get proven wrong I'm never having a hot take ever again

LFP > hero - Not very sure on this match but a good performance vs sekt mafia from LFP gives me a bit more confidence for them.

Jaguar > head
BB > xXx
sekt mafia > extine

Taiko is over joyed with this top 5 main pocket soldiers placement, his birthday is coming up soon and this means the world to him.

His face rn https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/929189944918954017/987070576587833424/IMG_2306.png

Taiko is in a depressive, self destructive state after looking at the top 5 soldiers, and noticing he wasn't anywhere on the list. His birthday is coming up very soon (mine is first), and I am concerned that he will do something rash. Please put him at at LEAST number 5 soldier.

his face rn https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/929189944918954017/987070576587833424/IMG_2306.png

Taiko is in a depressive, self destructive state after looking at the top 5 soldiers, and noticing he wasn't anywhere on the list. His birthday is coming up very soon (mine is first), and I am concerned that he will do something rash. Please put him at at LEAST number 5 soldier.

im just gonna put trapanomics twice

WHO IS TRAPANOMICS, IM STILL TRYING TO FIGURE THIS OUT!

everyone in here smells bad

if you - this post you are smelly

my former team lead.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ

spur the moment cast of obese whales v fgp https://www.twitch.tv/thr0ne

next stream will be better quality bc i'll have the stv and also there will not be tinder. thanks for tuning in, throne army.

WEEK 4

POWER RANKINGS

1. Twelve Years (=)
   
2. fgp (=)
   
3. Chickenheads BE QUIET(=)
   
4. Obese Whales (=)
   
5. triiiple ak (=)
   
6. Sweaty Spaghetti(=)
   
7. Go Raw! (+2)
   
8. PERUTECH (-1)
   
9. Sekt Mafia (-1)
   
10. Looking for Padre (=)

pretty seemingly stable week at the top but a couple of matches to note anyway
i was close to putting fgp at #1 last week, but based on their first loss vs oW they stay at #2
the match was full of role shifts and ringers so i'm not weighting it too hard
this also means oW stay at #4
Go Raw!'s confident win over PERUTECH puts them both up 2 and into the top 8
despite PERUTECH's loss, Sekt Mafia's unimpressive roster moves put them down to #9

PLAYER RANKINGS

https://i.imgur.com/i2sXaHs.png

misky and raven swapping roles has both moved down a spot or two or three
freddo's move to demo also shifts the pocket and demo columns

other than that:

• IN: yate, raven, Assterisk, and sears
  
• UP: throne, M17, watterson, Frisbee, and Maeko
  
• TOJO: tojo
  
• DN: MoisDM and XBS
  
• OUT: sagejay, Jason, Vio, earl, and smuG

full weekly rankings and live updated player rankings on the main spreadsheet

W5a Preds:

sidetalk > sekt mafia - something something pred for sidetalk every week. Rex + k1ng have good dm which helps on koth, but the new soldier duo + sidetalk's proven roster makes me think this will probably be a 4-0 or 4-1.

fgp > go raw! - I would like to take this time to wish fgp's own taiko an early happy birthday from everybody on the spring rolls analyst desk (aka just me). Just for you I will pred in your teams favor, surely there was no way I would've done so otherwise ! I hope you have a great day, everybody on your team clearly supports you!

(go raw!'s first match vs. a top team, their performance here will really guide my perception of them in the following weeks, although koth is a bit weird. Scouty sniper on viaduct though + yate is also very good makes me think the scout diffening will happen, feel free to prove me wrong).

chicken > spicy - I tried to have a hot take for spicy last week and it backfired so I'm only on beta preds now, FUCK spicy (all is forgiven if you win this match though cause that would be extremely beast).

obese > spaghetti - is jas back yet? idk but having a sniper player on this map would certainly be nice. Gonna assume he's not and pred a strong obese > spaghetti as their snakewater performance was bit weak. They had a good performance vs sidetalk on bagel though so maybe they're a koth team? who knows.

triiiple == perutech - gl;hf

hero's > pregame head
LFP > Jaguar - think LFP are pretty solid actually
bucket < BB - actually kind of hard to pred honestly, samantha diff maybe? idk. edit: actually after thinking about it i'm going with BB but still not sure.
extine > xXx

Springrolls called my team solid and my life is complete.

W5B preds: update broke everything edition

sidetalk > spicy - based on logs + round lengths sidetalk dominated sekt mafia and spicy got 4-0'd by chicken (but really if a match was played but there are no logs, did it ever really happen?)

fgp > sekt mafia - unless sekt mafia giga cleans up stuff I do believe this will be quite difficult, especially now with sniper x factor included

chicken > go raw! - ok now this is an interesting match; go raw! got 4-0'd by fgp although by the round lengths seems to be a bit closer than the score suggests. the frag/damage differential is very significant though. Still have to pred for chicken based on record and their strong via performance but as I said last week how go raw! do here really lets me gauge their strength much better.

obese whales > perutech - We have not played perutech and I'm not sure when we will (dear god exile please tell me team leader invite player) so I unfortunately have no data. Obese whales lost 2-4 to spaghetti which I did not expect, logs seems to indicate that whales soldiers struggled but it's also viaduct so idk take the stats with a grain of salt. Regardless whales still seem stronger on paper and as that's all I know I'm going with that.

Spaghetti > bucket - Incorrect pred last week for spaghetti but I'm going to cope and say that literally half their roster was different. Anyway I think this should be pretty dominant although I fucked up last week and simply should've believed in the samantha diff. Gulliblegoobular also kinda nice with it and S-tier alias and faith killed 9 meds which helps.

hero's > mutiny
Jaguar > 503
BB == triiiple ak gl;hf

Every team I believe in / compliment is cursed to lose so I apologize. Still think LFP > head tho

Score for W5a preds: 5/8 god I suck at this

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/985689749287219251/990062808009965598/unknown-4.png

W6 preds: Most matches between playoff-predicted teams have finished so I'll prob be doing full week preds + shorter writeups for now (round preds are like 5-0 5-1 unless otherwise noted)

triiiple == extine gl;hf
triiiple == mutiny gl;hf

sidetalk > hero's journey
sidetalk > LFP

fgp > bucket
fgp > Jaguar

chicken > sekt mafia (5-2) - Pretty important match for sekt mafia's playoff dreams; rounds could be important here (and obviously a win would be huge). Hard to pred not for chicken though.
chicken > hero's journey

whales > jaguar
whales > go raw! (5-3) - Another important match; I've seen antoni work miracles on process though ...

spaghetti > go raw! - I have 0 idea what the spaghetti roster is anymore and go raw are solid, plus jason has like 200 ping for some reason now unless that's fixed. Process is a good sniper map though and deathtocats is very strong. Could see like a 5-3 either way.
spaghetti > extine

sekt mafia > bucket

LFP > balcony

spicy > head
spicy > balcony

perutech > mutiny
perutech > head

casting the sweaty spaghetti vs go raw match tonight. tune in throne army: twitch.tv/thr0ne

5 prime subs and we'll do tinder again

ggs to sweaty, what an amazing game.
you guys are smart fr, please keep it up you guys are awesome :) <3